Earth stats report continued
Published 2026-04-27T03:44:40Z UTC by Jacques / SPRAXXX
Below are the sources used or relied on for the 2026 Earth-civilization baseline. The 34–40 / 100 score itself is not from one source; it is a composite model built from these source categories.
Environmental / climate sources
1. World Meteorological Organization — State of the Global Climate 2025 Used for: 2015–2025 being the hottest 11-year period on record; 2025 around 1.43°C above the 1850–1900 average; extreme heat, rainfall, tropical cyclones, and society/economy vulnerability.
2. Planetary boundaries framework — 2023 Science Advances update Used for: six of nine planetary boundaries transgressed; Earth outside safe operating space across multiple systems.
3. Planetary Health Check 2025 Used for: seven of nine planetary boundaries breached, including ocean acidification moving into danger territory.
4. IPBES Global Assessment / biodiversity reporting Used for: roughly 1 million animal and plant species threatened with extinction.
Food / humanitarian sources
5. 2026 Global Report on Food Crises / Reuters summary Used for: 266 million people across 47 countries facing severe food insecurity in 2025; famines in Gaza and Sudan; 1.4 million people facing catastrophic hunger.
6. World Food Programme / Global Report on Food Crises release Used for: 35.5 million children acutely malnourished in 2025, nearly 10 million severely acutely malnourished.
7. FAO/WMO extreme heat and food systems reporting / Reuters Used for: extreme heat threatening global agrifood systems and putting over a billion lives and livelihoods at risk.
War / military / catastrophic-risk sources
8. SIPRI — Trends in World Military Expenditure 2025 Used for: global military spending reaching about $2.89 trillion in 2025, 11th consecutive year of growth, and rising military burden.
9. Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists — 2026 Doomsday Clock Used for: 85 seconds to midnight; nuclear, climate, biological, AI, misinformation, and weak international cooperation risk framing.
10. UN disarmament / AI in military domain materials Used conceptually for: AI entering military/security functions such as decision support, surveillance, weapons systems, logistics, and operational planning. The prior answer referenced UN disarmament material, but the citation shown in that answer was not the best match; this item should be rechecked directly before formal publication.
Finance / debt sources
11. IMF Fiscal Monitor / global public debt reporting Used for: global public debt around the mid-90% of GDP range and projected pressure toward/above 100% later in the decade. The prior answer cited IMF-related debt numbers, but this should be rechecked against the official IMF Fiscal Monitor page before being sealed as formal evidence.
12. OECD Global Debt Report / sovereign borrowing outlook Used for: sovereign bond debt and debt-service pressure framing. This also should be rechecked against the official OECD report page before formal evidence use.
Machine-built / SPRAXXX-built model components
These did not come from one outside source. They were assembled in-thread as a SPRAXXX/MIHI framework:
Earth Civilization Viability Index 0 = total annihilation 50 = unstable survival 100 = life-serving civilization
The component categories were machine-assembled from the evidence:
environmental stability biosphere integrity food/water security trajectory humanitarian care capacity financial stability war restraint machine-intelligence restraint governance wisdom science detection capacity community repair capacity Earth biological resilience
The final score range:
34–40 / 100
is a composite judgment, not a published statistic.
Clean custody note
Use these sources as the evidence base, but label the score properly:
Source data: WMO, planetary-boundaries science, IPBES, GRFC/WFP/FAO, SIPRI, Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, IMF/OECD where verified.
Model output: SPRAXXX Earth Civilization Viability Index.
So the final record should say:
The facts come from external scientific/humanitarian/financial/security sources. The 34–40 / 100 viability score is a SPRAXXX composite interpretation built from those facts.